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2014 NFL Mock Draft Updated 5/8/14

  • Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2014 Week 16 NFL Pick - Kansas City Chiefs (8-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (9-5) This is the toughest game of the week for me to predict. These two teams are almost identical in terms of rate of moving the chains differential this year, with Pittsburgh coming in 6th, and Kansas City coming in 7th. The Steelers have the better offense, moving [...]
  • Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals: 2014 Week 16 NFL Pick - Seattle Seahawks (10-4) at Arizona Cardinals (11-3) A lot is made about the Seahawks’ homefield advantage in the NFC West, but the Cardinals have had a tough homefield advantage in recent years as well, going 29-11 ATS as home underdogs or favorites of less than 3 since 2007. This season alone they are 7-0 straight [...]
  • Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: 2014 Week 16 NFL Pick - Atlanta Falcons (5-9) at New Orleans Saints (6-8) The Saints recently won 20 straight home games with Sean Payton and Drew Brees, covering in almost all of them (18-1-1 ATS), but they’ve since lost 4 straight games at home, all as favorites. On the season, they are just 2-5 ATS at home and oddly enough [...]
  • Cleveland Browns at Carolina Panthers: 2014 Week 16 NFL Pick - Cleveland Browns (7-7) at Carolina Panthers (5-8-1) The Browns had a horrific showing last week at home in Johnny Manziel’s debut losing the first down battle 5-24 against the Bengals and moving the chains at a 35.71% rate, as opposed to 78.38% for the Bengals. As a result of that, this line with Carolina favored [...]
  • San Diego Chargers at San Francisco 49ers: 2014 Week 16 NFL Pick - San Diego Chargers (8-6) at San Francisco 49ers (7-7) The public is all over the Chargers here. It’s understandable. The 49ers have lost 3 straight games, haven’t covered since week 11 in New York against the Giants and haven’t covered at home since week 13 of last season. They’ve been eliminated from the playoffs and [...]
  • New England Patriots at New York Jets: 2014 Week 16 NFL Pick - New England Patriots (11-3) at New York Jets (3-11) The Patriots are one of the best teams in the NFL and the Jets are one of the worst, but this line is still a little high at 10.5. The Patriots move the chains at a 77.87% rate, as opposed to 72.00% for their opponents, a [...]
  • Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins: 2014 Week 16 NFL Pick - Philadelphia Eagles (9-5) at Washington Redskins (3-11) This is one of two games this week where the line is really off, according to rate of moving the chains differential (the other one is Chicago/Detroit). The Redskins haven’t been quite as bad as their record this season, moving the chains at a 70.28% rate, as opposed [...]
  • Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals: 2014 Week 16 NFL Pick - Denver Broncos (11-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (9-4-1) The Bengals had a huge performance in Cleveland last week, winning the first down battle 24-5 against the Browns and moving the chains at a 78.38% rate, as opposed to 35.71% for their opponents. However, they still rank just 17th in rate of moving the chains differential, moving [...]
  • St. Louis Rams at New York Giants: 2014 Week 16 NFL Pick - New York Giants (5-9) at St. Louis Rams (6-8) This line is off. The Rams are 6.5 point favorites here at home despite the fact that the Giants rank better in rate of moving the chains differential. The Giants rank 16th, moving them at a 72.33% rate, as opposed to 72.52% for their opponents, a [...]
  • Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2014 Week 16 NFL Pick - Green Bay Packers (10-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-12) The Packers haven’t been nearly the same team on the road this season. That was evident last week in a loss in Buffalo and it’s been evident all year as they’ve beaten just one team by more than 4 points on the road all season, relevant [...]

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