After winning the Super Bowl in 2010 and winning 15 regular season games in 2011, the Packers entered 2012 as probably the favorite to win it all. After a 2-3 start, that kind of faded away and even though they finished the season 9-2 from that point on, they still never really felt like the [...]
This is one of three rematch games this week. It has several obvious differences from Baltimore/Denver and New England/Houston. Both of those games were blowouts. Both of those games were fairly recent. These two teams played way back in week 1 and San Francisco won 30-22. And both of those games are once again expected [...]
For analysis on Minnesota click here For analysis on Green Bay click here The Vikings beat the Packers just last week so they will definitely hang within 8 of the Packers this week right? Well, that seems to be what everything thinks as the public is all over the Vikings. However, as is frequently the [...]
It’s tough to know what to make of the Packers. On one hand, they were the preseason favorites and they went 11-5 in spite of a bogus loss in Seattle. They haven’t really been significantly worse than their expectations and I feel like no one is talking about them enough and this might give them [...]
Green Bay Packers (11-4) at Minnesota Vikings (9-6) There are many reasons to like the Vikings here. They’ve played great football at home, going 6-1 with wins over San Francisco and Chicago, as opposed to 3-4 on the road. They played the Packers tight a few weeks back and that was in Green Bay. They’re [...]
Last week: 7 (+6) Record: 11-4 Net points per drive: 0.50 (6th) DVOA: 30.0% (5th) Weighted DVOA: 27.0% (4th) Studs QB Aaron Rodgers: 27 of 38 for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns, 2 drops, 1 throw away, 108.2 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 11 of 42 drop backs (1 sack, 2 scramble, 2 of 8, [...]
Tennessee Titans (5-9) at Green Bay Packers (10-4) I’ve called Green Bay overrated because of all their injuries and I still think there’s a lot of truth to that. Injuries at running back have left them with a washed up Ryan Grant, an unproven DuJuan Harris, and fullback John Kuhn to carry the rock. The [...]
Last week: 9 (+2) Record: 10-4 Net points per drive: 0.23 (10th) DVOA: 23.1% (5th) Weighted DVOA: 17.3% (5th) Green Bay is another team that I’m not sold on, but sometimes I wonder if they’re not the sleeper favorites to win the whole thing, once they get healthy, given their recent history. However, just this [...]
Green Bay Packers (9-4) at Chicago Bears (8-5) I’ve called the Packers overrated before. This was because they were really banged up with injuries and as a result, they weren’t really playing as well as people thought they are. Injuries to Cedric Benson and now James Starks left the mediocre Alex Green as the feature [...]
Last week: 14 (+5) Record: 9-4 Net points per drive: 0.17 (12th) DVOA: 21.9% (5th) Weighted DVOA: 16.2% (7th) I’ve questioned if the Packers would make the playoffs in the past because they were so banged up and not playing well and because the NFC was so loaded. One team every year goes from a [...]
Detroit Lions (4-8) at Green Bay Packers (8-4) This is a really interesting game. Earlier this week, I wrote about some of the parity related things that happen every single year and how those could be used to help predict games the rest of the way. The Lions are by far the likeliest candidate to [...]
Last week: 13 (-4) Record: 8-4 Net points per drive: 0.15 (13th) DVOA: 23.7% (5th) Weighted DVOA: 22.3% (5th) Studs QB Aaron Rodgers: 27 of 35 for 286 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception, 3 thrown away, 1 drop, 106.3 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 16 of 41 drop backs (2 sacks, 2 scrambles, 6 [...]
Minnesota Vikings (6-5) at Green Bay Packers (7-4) Aaron Rodgers is normally deadly off a loss, going 14-9 ATS in that situation in his career, including 10-4 ATS since 2009, which excludes 2008, his first year as a starter. However, as favorites of a touchdown or more, he’s just 4-3 ATS in that situation in [...]
Last week: 13 (+4) Record: 7-4 Net points per drive: 0.1 (15th) DVOA: 23.7% (6th) Weighted DVOA: 21.6% (6th) Tier 3: Former Super Bowl champs who could be scary if they get hot Studs LE BJ Raji: 5 quarterback hurries on 30 pass rush snaps, 2 solo tackles, 1 assist, 2 stops Duds LT Marshall [...]
Green Bay Packers (7-3) at New York Giants (6-4) What’s wrong with the Giants? That’s what everyone is asking. Well, they do this every year. Since Tom Coughlin took over, the Giants are 53-19 in the first 8 games of a season and 27-39 in the last 8 games of the season, including these last [...]
Record: 7-3 Last week: 13 (+0) Of course, the one year I won’t shut up about things that happen every year is the one year they might not happen. Every year, one team goes from out of the playoffs to a first round bye. Well, the only team that is a candidate to do that [...]
Green Bay Packers (6-3) at Detroit Lions (4-5) I don’t think it’s possible to talk about the Packers without first talking about how bad their injury situation has gotten. Already missing stud middle linebacker Desmond Bishop and replacement DJ Smith for the season, the Packers have also put starting right tackle Bryan Bulaga and starting [...]
Last week: 13 (+0) Record: 6-3 On bye.
Last week: 13 (-5) Record: 6-3 The Packers are 6-3 after a 2-3 start, but since their Houston blowout win, all 3 of their games have been very easy, against St. Louis, Jacksonville, and Arizona and I haven’t been impressed with their performance overall. Defensively, they’re about as banged up as you can get. Already [...]
Arizona Cardinals (4-4) at Green Bay Packers (5-3) This is what I said about the Cardinals after their 3-0 start. “Almost every year, there’s a team that gets off to a good start and then fades away and misses the playoffs and makes their believers look dumb (“This Ryan Fitzpatrick is the real deal.” “Rex [...]
Last week: 13 (+4) Record: 5-3 I wasn’t impressed with the Packers’ performance last week and they’re awfully banged up, but I’m moving them back into the playoffs for now. Every year, one team goes from a 1st round bye to out of the playoffs. Right now, I have the Ravens as that team, but [...]
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5) at Green Bay Packers (4-3) So apparently Chad Henne is worse than Blaine Gabbert? I didn’t even know that was possible. Before he got hurt, Gabbert looked serviceable against Oakland’s terrible secondary last week, completing 8 of 12 for 110 yards and a touchdown. However, then Henne came in and went 9 [...]
Last week: 14 (+1) Record: 4-3 The Packers have looked awfully impressive over the past 2 weeks and Aaron Rodgers is playing out of his mind, but they’re still the favorite to be this year’s team that goes from a 1st round bye to out of the playoffs, though New England and Baltimore made strong [...]
Green Bay Packers (3-3) at St. Louis Rams (3-3) It’s funny how much the general public likes to overreact to one game. Last week, everyone was talking about “what’s wrong with the Packers?” and now some people are calling them the best team in the NFL once again. On top of that, they are being [...]
Last week: 14 (+1) Record: 3-3 I’m not saying the Packers are the 13th best team in the league. They didn’t deserve to lose to Seattle or Indianapolis. However, they did and I’m doing this based on what record I think a given team will finish with. Every year, one team goes from a 1st [...]